Czechia vs. Spain
Czechia7%▼ 1
Draw12%▼ 1
Spain82%▲ 1
Install
Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 5 Finishers
Settled Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé
The last odds before it closed
100%Harry Kane
- ✓ Harry Kane100%▲ 1
- ✓ Lamine Yamal100%▲ 2
- ✓ Kylian Mbappé100%▲ 2
- ✓ Lionel Messi100%▲ 25
- ✓ Rodri100%▲ 23
- Jude Bellingham1%▼ 4
- Pau Cubarsí1%▼ 5
- Marc Cucurella1%▼ 3
- Ousmane Dembélé1%▼ 13
- Luis Díaz1%▼ 2
- Bruno Fernandes1%▼ 1
- Gabriel1%▼ 3
18 more
- Erling Haaland1%▼ 6
- Achraf Hakimi1%▼ 3
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1%▼ 22
- Sadio Mané1%▼ 3
- Marquinhos1%▼ 3
- Lautaro Martínez1%▼ 2
- Nuno Mendes1%▼ 3
- João Neves1%▼ 3
- Michael Olise1%▼ 31
- Willian Pacho1%▼ 3
- Julián Quiñones1%▼ 2
- Declan Rice1%▼ 3
- Fabián Ruiz1%▼ 10
- William Saliba1%▼ 3
- Ferran Torres1%▼ 3
- Dayot Upamecano1%▼ 3
- Vinícius Júnior1%▼ 2
- Vitinha1%▼ 3
How the odds have moved
Harry Kane: 98% on Oct 20, 100% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Harry Kane | 100% | 7.6K | ||||
| ✓ Lamine Yamal | 100% | 11.3K | ||||
| ✓ Kylian Mbappé | 100% | 16.2K | ||||
| ✓ Lionel Messi | 100% | 75.5K | ||||
| ✓ Rodri | 100% | 52.2K | ||||
| ✗ Jude Bellingham | 1% | 30.1K | ||||
| ✗ Pau Cubarsí | 1% | 4.7K | ||||
| ✗ Marc Cucurella | 1% | 748 | ||||
| ✗ Ousmane Dembélé | 1% | 45.9K | ||||
| ✗ Luis Díaz | 1% | 158 | ||||
| ✗ Bruno Fernandes | 1% | 518 | ||||
| ✗ Gabriel | 1% | |||||
| ✗ Erling Haaland | 1% | 42.3K | ||||
| ✗ Achraf Hakimi | 1% | 281 | ||||
| ✗ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1% | 49.9K | ||||
| ✗ Sadio Mané | 1% | |||||
| ✗ Marquinhos | 1% | |||||
| ✗ Lautaro Martínez | 1% | 43.00 | ||||
| ✗ Nuno Mendes | 1% | |||||
| ✗ João Neves | 1% | 585 | ||||
| ✗ Michael Olise | 1% | 167.8K | ||||
| ✗ Willian Pacho | 1% | |||||
| ✗ Julián Quiñones | 1% | 10.8K | ||||
| ✗ Declan Rice | 1% | 2.0K | ||||
| ✗ Fabián Ruiz | 1% | 27.8K | ||||
| ✗ William Saliba | 1% | |||||
| ✗ Ferran Torres | 1% | 883 | ||||
| ✗ Dayot Upamecano | 1% | |||||
| ✗ Vinícius Júnior | 1% | 1.1K | ||||
| ✗ Vitinha | 1% | 2.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ballon d'Or, Finishers, Harry Kane
Search ›- Why Shaw's Ballon d'Or ranking means so muchWATCH MORE: Women's Football video on the BBC Why Shaw's Ballon d'Or ranking means so much. Video, 00:00:24Why Shaw's Ballon d'Or ranking means so much Up Next. Kane's Ballon d'Or success 'a win for football' - Coady. Video, 00:01:06Kane's…
- Ireland Player Spotted Partying With Harry Kane During Ballon D'Or CelebrationsHarry Kane was named as the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner earlier this week, becoming the first Englishman to win the award in a quarter of a century. He made the most of the celebrations afterwards, which included a certain Ireland…
- Harry Kane answers: did he direct his famous message at Mbappé and Yamal after winning the Ballon d'Or?"It was a wonderful Monday night" Bayern Munich star Harry Kane has revealed the truth behind his famous message to Real Madrid and Barcelona duo Kylian Mbappé and Lamine Yamal during the race for the Ballon d'Or. Kane claimed the Ballon…
- Cristiano Ronaldo pips Lionel Messi in Ballon d'Or BOAT award as fans have their say on greatest all-time winnerThroughout their time as football rivals, Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi were neck-and-neck at the top of the global game. For over a decade, the two had a stranglehold on the Ballon d'Or, with the two winning every single trophy from…
- Bayern Munich set to break strict contract rule after Harry Kane's Ballon d'Or winHarry Kane has won the Ballon d'Or and Bayern Munich are looking to tie him down to a fresh contract. Bayern Munich are poised to break their strict contract policy for Harry Kane after he won the Ballon d'Or on Monday night. Kane became…
- Harry Kane could now achieve rare double honour not seen in 33 years after Ballon d'Or winEngland captain Kane won the men's Ballon d'Or for the first time on Monday night. Harry Kane's Ballon d'Or win could give him the opportunity to end a lengthy wait among English footballers that stretches back to 1994. Kane won the men's…
- 'He is the best in the world' - Jorge Mendes backs Barcelona sensation Lamine Yamal to beat Kylian Mbappe to 2026 Ballon d'OrSuper-agent Jorge Mendes insists Barcelona star Lamine Yamal clearly deserves to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or ahead of Kylian Mbappe. Help us verify your age by providing an honest response. This site contains gambling advertising for 24+…
- Harry Kane makes ultimate gift promise to England and Bayern Munich teammates after emotional Ballon d'Or victoryHarry Kane has revealed his plans to treat his Bayern Munich and England colleagues to special gifts following his historic Ballon d'Or triumph in London. The 33-year-old striker enjoyed an incredible 2026, scoring a combined 73 goals for…
- Sir Harry Kane? PM Andy Burnham refuses to rule out knighthood for England captain after historic Ballon d'Or victoryHarry Kane is officially the best player on the planet after claiming the Ballon d’Or, but his trophy cabinet could be about to welcome an even more prestigious honour. The England captain made history in London on Monday night, and the UK…
- Lamine Yamal’s inner circle confident Barcelona superstar will bounce back strongly after Ballon d’Or blowLamine Yamal is understood to be disappointed after finishing third in the Ballon d'Or standings, having arrived at the awards ceremony with hopes of winning football's most prestigious individual honour. The Barcelona forward had dreamed…
- Sir Harry Kane someday? Ballon d'Or winner hints at knighthood wishHarry Kane has conquered the world of football, winning the Ballon d'Or after a sensational season with Bayern Munich and England. A knighthood could be the next honour to come his way, although the England captain admits that getting used…
- Harry Kane denies taking a swipe at Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal – and says surprises are in storeHarry Kane did not feature in Bayern Munich’s 6-1 win over 1. FC Magdeburg, but he was still the centre of attention – and answered questions afterwards. Bayern Munich are likely to save the full world-footballer show for Saturday's…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Futbol. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Futbol, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Futbol index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Futbol Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions