Odds & Match Probabilities

Football's moneyline has three outcomes — home, draw, away — which is the first thing that catches out an American bettor. The percentages below have the bookmaker's margin taken out, so they add up to 100 and show what the market really thinks.

Next matches

Kick-off	Match	Home	Draw	Away	O 2.5
Sat 7:30 AM ET	Leeds v Tottenham Premier League	35% 2.69	28% 3.33	37% 2.54	1.91
Sat 7:30 AM ET	Bristol City v Norwich Championship	35% 2.66	27% 3.43	38% 2.49	1.75
Sat 7:30 AM ET	Portsmouth v Stoke Championship	41% 2.31	29% 3.22	30% 3.09	2.14
Sat 7:30 AM ET	Wrexham v Wolves Championship	29% 3.19	28% 3.4	43% 2.18	1.88
Sat 8:00 AM ET	Málaga v Racing Santander La Liga	40% 2.39	27% 3.54	34% 2.78	1.63
Sat 9:00 AM ET	Cagliari v Frosinone Serie A	35% 2.7	26% 3.64	39% 2.41	1.53
Sat 9:00 AM ET	Torino v Lecce Serie A	52% 1.8	26% 3.61	22% 4.38	1.87
Sat 9:30 AM ET	Dortmund v Elversberg Bundesliga	72% 1.3	16% 5.79	12% 8.21	1.33
Sat 9:30 AM ET	Mainz v Bayern Bundesliga	14% 6.91	15% 6.13	71% 1.31	1.2
Sat 9:30 AM ET	Paderborn v Frankfurt Bundesliga	31% 2.98	25% 3.78	44% 2.14	1.44
Sat 9:30 AM ET	RB Leipzig v Augsburg Bundesliga	65% 1.45	18% 5.14	17% 5.53	1.25
Sat 10:00 AM ET	Arsenal v Hull Premier League	82% 1.15	13% 7.42	6% 16.19	1.5
Sat 10:00 AM ET	Fulham v Newcastle Premier League	46% 2.05	26% 3.63	28% 3.33	1.63
Sat 10:00 AM ET	Dundee United v Motherwell Scottish Premiership	46% 2.02	25% 3.71	29% 3.22	1.55
Sat 10:00 AM ET	St Johnstone v Dundee Scottish Premiership	39% 2.4	27% 3.48	35% 2.68	1.7
Sat 10:00 AM ET	Birmingham v Swansea Championship	51% 1.83	26% 3.6	23% 4.1	1.84
Sat 10:00 AM ET	Blackburn v West Ham Championship	20% 4.72	23% 4.03	57% 1.64	1.58
Sat 10:00 AM ET	Cardiff v Burnley Championship	44% 2.12	25% 3.75	31% 3.02	1.5
Sat 10:00 AM ET	Charlton v Sheffield United Championship	27% 3.47	27% 3.47	46% 2.04	1.85
Sat 10:00 AM ET	Preston v Southampton Championship	20% 4.73	23% 4.05	57% 1.63	1.56

Decimal prices in grey; margin-free probability in bold. Where two sources disagree we show the one attached to the match.

Latest closing lines — Liga MX, Argentina, Brazil

Date	Match	Result	Home	Draw	Away	Favourite
Thu, Nov 5	Cruzeiro v Bahia Brasileirão	3–2	53%	24%	23%	won
Thu, Nov 5	Palmeiras v Remo Brasileirão	6–1	76%	15%	9%	won
Thu, Nov 5	Gimnasia La Plata v Belgrano Argentina	2–1	34%	29%	37%	lost
Thu, Nov 5	Aldosivi v River Argentina	0–2	12%	20%	68%	won
Wed, Nov 4	São Paulo v Corinthians Brasileirão	0–0	38%	31%	32%	drew
Wed, Nov 4	Botafogo v Atlético-MG Brasileirão	1–0	58%	23%	18%	won
Wed, Nov 4	Flamengo v Grêmio Brasileirão	3–1	83%	11%	6%	won
Wed, Nov 4	Athletico-PR v Vasco Brasileirão	1–3	38%	28%	34%	lost
Tue, Nov 3	Inter v Coritiba Brasileirão	1–0	61%	23%	17%	won
Tue, Nov 3	Chapecoense v Mirassol Brasileirão	1–2	25%	26%	49%	won
Mon, Nov 2	Independiente Rivadavia v Banfield Argentina	3–1	59%	24%	17%	won
Mon, Nov 2	Atlético Tucumán v Argentinos Argentina	1–2	33%	31%	36%	won

No free source prices upcoming Liga MX, Argentine or Brazilian fixtures, so these are closing lines — the market's last word before kick-off — set against the result.

Multi-sportsbook line shopping is switched off: it needs an Odds API key belonging to this site. See Data sources.

Reading a football line

Three-way (1X2): Home win, draw or away win. A draw is a real outcome, not a push — this is the big difference from American sports.
Decimal price: 2.50 returns $2.50 for every $1 staked, stake included. Implied chance = 1 ÷ price.
Draw no bet: Two outcomes: if it ends level your stake comes back. Shorter price, less risk.
Double chance: Backing two of the three outcomes at once.
Asian handicap: Removes the draw by giving one side a head start. Quarter lines (−0.25, −0.75) split your stake across two bets.
Totals: Over/under a number of goals; 2.5 is the standard line.
Both teams to score: Exactly what it says, and popular because it survives a late collapse.

Most books settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time — extra time and penalties do not count unless the market says so. Check your book's rules.

Where the margin goes

Add up 1 ÷ price for all three outcomes and you get more than 1. The excess is the bookmaker's margin. Divide each by the total and you get the market's honest view — which is what the percentages here are.

A typical three-way football market carries a bigger margin than a two-way American one, simply because there are three prices to pad.

Full explainer →

Club betting trends this season

Records when the club closed as the shortest or longest of the three 1X2 prices; over/under 2.5 goals; both teams to score. This season.

Club	As favourite	As underdog	Over 2.5	BTTS
River	18-4-10	1-1-2	12/36	13/36
Belgrano	10-7-6	6-4-3	13/36	15/36
Atlético-MG	11-5-0	3-3-12	16/34	16/34
Palmeiras	18-9-3	3-1-0	16/34	18/34
Coritiba	5-2-4	6-7-10	16/34	16/34
Bragantino	9-4-4	4-4-9	14/34	18/34
Inter	7-6-6	2-5-8	14/34	19/34
Athletico-PR	10-5-2	5-4-8	17/34	20/34
Remo	2-1-2	4-10-15	17/34	21/34
Grêmio	8-3-0	1-7-15	15/34	20/34
Santos	7-5-5	5-6-6	22/34	25/34
Corinthians	7-4-8	2-6-7	15/34	19/34
Bahia	9-7-3	5-4-6	18/34	22/34
São Paulo	9-4-6	3-4-8	13/34	19/34
Flamengo	23-7-4	0-0-0	22/34	18/34
Mirassol	8-6-3	2-4-11	16/34	22/34
Botafogo	8-6-2	3-3-12	21/34	22/34
Cruzeiro	14-4-3	4-2-7	22/34	23/34
Gimnasia La Plata	7-2-2	11-4-8	18/34	19/34
Central	15-7-3	3-2-4	16/34	20/34
Argentinos	16-8-3	2-3-2	11/34	16/34
Vitória	8-2-0	2-6-15	13/33	14/33
Fluminense	12-5-3	3-4-6	19/33	24/33
Chapecoense	0-1-1	4-8-19	20/33	21/33
Vasco	8-4-5	3-4-9	20/33	21/33

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Data: football-data.co.uk, The Odds API · updated Fri 4:25 PM ET · About our data