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2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
The odds
- Spain16%
- France13%
- England7%
- Brazil6%
- Portugal5%
- Germany5%
- Argentina4%
- Italy3%
- Morocco3%
- Norway3%▼ 1
- USA3%
- Mexico2%
70 more
- Netherlands2%
- Belgium1%
- Uruguay1%
- Japan1%
- Colombia1%
- Croatia1%
- Cape Verde<1%
- Egypt<1%
- Switzerland<1%
- Qatar<1%
- Paraguay<1%
- Ivory Coast<1%
- Ghana<1%
- Greece<1%
- Korea Republic<1%
- Canada<1%
- Ecuador<1%
- South Africa<1%
- Turkiye<1%
- Algeria<1%
- Congo DR<1%
- Nigeria<1%
- Venezuela<1%
- Denmark<1%
- Czechia<1%
- Australia<1%
- Slovakia<1%
- Romania<1%
- Ukraine<1%
- Austria<1%
- Chile<1%
- Israel<1%
- United Arab Emirates<1%
- Ireland<1%
- Sweden<1%
- Saudi Arabia<1%
- Jordan<1%
- Iceland<1%
- North Macedonia<1%
- Northern Ireland<1%
- Bosnia and Herzegovina<1%
- Wales<1%
- Scotland<1%
- Haiti<1%
- Kosovo<1%
- Curacao<1%
- Tunisia<1%
- Poland<1%
- Albania<1%
- IR Iran<1%
- New Zealand<1%
- Senegal<1%
- Bolivia<1%
- Iraq<1%
- Suriname<1%
- Uzbekistan<1%
- Jamaica<1%
- New Caledonia<1%
- Panama<1%
- Costa Rica<1%
How the odds have moved
Spain: 16% on Oct 20, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 16% | 16¢ | 16¢ | $6.29 | 251.9K | |
| France | 13% | 12¢ | 14¢ | $7.41 | 71.3K | |
| England | 7% | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 21.8K | |
| Brazil | 6% | 6¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | 17.2K | |
| Portugal | 5% | 5¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 22.1K | |
| Germany | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 34.3K | |
| Argentina | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | 61.4K | |
| Italy | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 28.4K | |
| Morocco | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $30.30 | 20.2K | |
| Norway | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $26.32 | 24.3K |
| USA | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | 42.3K | |
| Mexico | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $40.00 | 50.2K | |
| Netherlands | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $43.48 | 4.1K | |
| Belgium | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $71.43 | 9.1K | |
| Uruguay | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | 12.8K | |
| Japan | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $90.91 | 18.1K | |
| Colombia | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | 11.1K | ||
| Croatia | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 12.8K | ||
| Cape Verde | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 12.4K | ||
| Egypt | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | 13.5K | ||
| Switzerland | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 8.4K | ||
| Qatar | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 24.7K | ||
| Paraguay | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 13.1K | ||
| Ivory Coast | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 23.5K | ||
| Ghana | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 9.0K | ||
| Greece | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 10.8K | ||
| Korea Republic | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 12.7K | ||
| Canada | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 3.7K | ||
| Ecuador | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 2.9K | ||
| South Africa | <1% | 0¢ | 12.8K | |||
| Turkiye | <1% | 0¢ | 2.6K | |||
| Algeria | <1% | 0¢ | 11.5K | |||
| Congo DR | <1% | 0¢ | 16.7K | |||
| Nigeria | <1% | 0¢ | 5.7K | |||
| Venezuela | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 14.1K | ||
| Denmark | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 47.00 | ||
| Czechia | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | |||
| Australia | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 1.2K | ||
| Slovakia | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 2.3K | ||
| Romania | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 1.7K | ||
| Ukraine | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 6.0K | ||
| Austria | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | |||
| Chile | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | |||
| Israel | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 2.0K | ||
| United Arab Emirates | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 463 | ||
| Ireland | <1% | 0¢ | 7.4K | |||
| Sweden | <1% | 0¢ | 1.1K | |||
| Saudi Arabia | <1% | 0¢ | 2.8K | |||
| Jordan | <1% | 0¢ | 8.5K | |||
| Iceland | <1% | 0¢ | 5.1K | |||
| North Macedonia | <1% | 0¢ | 1.5K | |||
| Northern Ireland | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | <1% | 0¢ | 523 | |||
| Wales | <1% | 0¢ | ||||
| Scotland | <1% | 0¢ | 100 | |||
| Haiti | <1% | 0¢ | 2.7K | |||
| Kosovo | <1% | 0¢ | 1.5K | |||
| Curacao | <1% | 0¢ | 972 | |||
| Tunisia | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Poland | <1% | 0¢ | 334 | |||
| Albania | <1% | 0¢ | 685 | |||
| IR Iran | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| New Zealand | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Senegal | <1% | 0¢ | 18.5K | |||
| Bolivia | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Iraq | <1% | 0¢ | 47.00 | |||
| Suriname | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Uzbekistan | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Jamaica | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| New Caledonia | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Panama | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Costa Rica | <1% | 0¢ | 545 | |||
| Cameroon | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Serbia | <1% | 0¢ | ||||
| Slovenia | <1% | 0¢ | ||||
| Hungary | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Peru | <1% | 0¢ | 297 | |||
| Georgia | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Mali | <1% | 0¢ | 500 | |||
| Burkina Faso | <1% | 0¢ | 3.6K | |||
| Honduras | <1% | 0¢ | 1.6K | |||
| Finland | <1% | 0¢ | 47.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: World Cup, FIFA World Cup
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- Australia reach World Cup final after Fiji scareAbbi Church (left) scored a hat-trick against Fiji - she now has seven tries in four 2026 World Cup matches Tries: Church 4, Upton, Chapman Goals: Kelleher 3 Tries: Yaranamua, Paseka Goals: Yaranamua 3 Australia have reached their fifth…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Futbol. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Futbol, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Futbol index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Futbol Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions