Czechia vs. Spain
Czechia7%▼ 1
Draw12%▼ 1
Spain82%▲ 1
Install
UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase
The odds
98%Real Madrid
- Real Madrid98%▼ 1
- Paris Saint-Germain97%▲ 2
- Arsenal90%
- Barcelona87%▲ 1
- Bayern Munich76%
- Manchester City71%
- Liverpool67%▲ 2
- Aston Villa38%▼ 1
- Como34%▲ 1
- Borussia Dortmund30%▲ 1
- Real Betis26%
- Club Brugge23%
24 more
- Inter Milan22%
- VfB Stuttgart18%
- Sporting CP17%▼ 1
- Atlético Madrid13%
- Roma5%
- PSV Eindhoven4%
- Sabah3%
- Shakhtar Donetsk3%
- LASK3%
- Manchester United3%▼ 2
- Fenerbahçe3%
- Galatasaray2%
- Feyenoord2%
- Viking2%
- Villarreal2%
- Porto2%
- Lens2%
- Bodø/Glimt2%▲ 1
- Slovan Bratislava1%
- Napoli1%
- Slavia Prague<1%
- AEK Athens<1%
- RB Leipzig<1%
- Lille<1%
How the odds have moved
Real Madrid: 87% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 8 PM ETReal Madrid: 88% → 98%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 98% | ▼ 1 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | $8.7K |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 97% | ▲ 2 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.02 | $1.5K |
| Arsenal | 90% | 88¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | $1.1K | |
| Barcelona | 87% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | $8.2K |
| Bayern Munich | 76% | 75¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | $9.2K | |
| Manchester City | 71% | 70¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | $2.7K | |
| Liverpool | 67% | ▲ 2 | 66¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | $4.6K |
| Aston Villa | 38% | ▼ 1 | 37¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | $1.6K |
| Como | 34% | ▲ 1 | 32¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | $2.3K |
| Borussia Dortmund | 30% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $1.7K |
| Real Betis | 26% | 25¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | $1.6K | |
| Club Brugge | 23% | 22¢ | 24¢ | $4.10 | $1.7K | |
| Inter Milan | 22% | 21¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | $5.4K | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 18% | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $5.3K | |
| Sporting CP | 17% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $6.3K |
| Atlético Madrid | 13% | 12¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | $1.7K | |
| Roma | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | $281 | |
| PSV Eindhoven | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | $236 | |
| Sabah | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $155 | |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | $220 | |
| LASK | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $200 | |
| Manchester United | 3% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $977 |
| Fenerbahçe | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $1.9K | |
| Galatasaray | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $1.3K | |
| Feyenoord | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | $138 | |
| Viking | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $354 | |
| Villarreal | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $30.30 | $576 | |
| Porto | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $161 | |
| Lens | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $43.48 | $185 | |
| Bodø/Glimt | 2% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | $571 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $83.33 | $687 | |
| Napoli | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $305 | ||
| Slavia Prague | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1.4K | ||
| AEK Athens | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1.8K | ||
| RB Leipzig | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $883 | ||
| Lille | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $3.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Champions League, UEFA Champions League, League Phase
Search ›- Mourinho and chaos - is Real Madrid boss misunderstood?Mourinho returned to lead Real Madrid in the summer Barcelona fans have long teased Jose Mourinho, with their insult of choice being traductor - Spanish for translator. It is their way of mocking the Real Madrid manager's humble…
- Real Madrid star misses group training due to overload; not a doubt for Racing Santander clashReal Madrid's impressive victory over Barcelona gave Jose Mourinho plenty of positives to build on in the coming weeks. One of the biggest positives to emerge for Los Blancos this season has been the growing influence of Arda Guler in…
- Arsenal v Benfica: Women’s Champions League – live⚽ Minute-by-minute updates from 8pm (GMT) kick-off ⚽ Live scoreboard | Moving the Goalposts newsletter Renee Slegers makes three changes from the win at Spurs. Elisa De Almeida, Ona Batlle and Geraldine Reuteler come in for Leah…
- China deems Real Madrid’s apology insufficient over Mbappe’s statement and delivers firm responseReal Madrid are facing growing pressure to resolve the controversy surrounding Kylian Mbappe's recent comments about China. What initially appeared to be an issue involving the Frenchman's personal image has developed into a serious…
- Real Madrid veteran issues update on his health after missing El Clasico: ‘Feeling much better’The hours leading up to El Clasico on Sunday night were all about Thibaut Courtois and the sudden flu he suffered which shockingly put his participation in doubt. Taking no risks, Real Madrid put up an official confirmation of the player's…
- Real Madrid superstar Kylian Mbappe sets new La Liga benchmark with remarkable recordReal Madrid have seen their attacking performances improve under Jose Mourinho in recent games, and one of the main reasons has been the form of Kylian Mbappe. The Frenchman's explosive pace often helps him get into positions other…
- Chelsea 2-0 Roma: Blues remain unbeaten in Women's Champions LeagueEllie Carpenter scored six minutes after coming on for Chelsea Chelsea's strong start to the season continued with victory over Roma in the Women's Champions League. Sonia Bompastor's side have two wins and a draw from their opening three…
- Real Madrid star joins Mourinho’s ‘untouchables’ after Barcelona performanceA member of the midfield ranks at La Liga giants Real Madrid has joined the short list of players considered 'untouchable' by head coach José Mourinho. That's according to Marca, who highlight Arda Güler as the player in question…
- Real Madrid star accused Barcelona’s Lamine Yamal of repeatedly ‘provoking’ teammateReal Madrid star Bernardo Silva was keen to highlight what he considered unsportsmanlike behaviour on the part of Barcelona youngster Lamine Yamal during last weekend's El Clásico. This came amid persistent attempts to protect teammate…
- Winning the Clasico is not enough: Mourinho enters his toughest six days with Real MadridHow will the Portuguese coach act? Real Madrid and Jose Mourinho have cut the gap on La Liga leaders Barcelona to three points. The hard part starts now. Last Sunday brought a 2-1 win over Barcelona at the Camp Nou in the tenth round of…
- Chelsea beats Roma 2-0 and Bayern rallies to draw 2-2 with Real Madrid in Women's Champions LeagueChelsea's Kadeisha Buchanan celebrates scoring their side's second goal of the game during a Women's Champions League soccer match between Chelsea and Roma, Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2026, in London. Credit: AP/John Walton PARIS — Wieke Kaptein…
- Real Madrid defender silences critics with starring display against BarcelonaThere was a lot at stake when Real Madrid visited Barcelona this past weekend, including prestige as well as the La Liga title race. The stakes were arguably higher for the Real Madrid defence, which has fallen prey to Barcelona's…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Futbol. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Futbol, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Futbol index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Futbol Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions