Czechia vs. Spain
Czechia7%▼ 1
Draw12%▼ 1
Spain82%▲ 1
Install
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
The odds
>99%Mbappé
- Mbappé>99%▲ 31
- Yamal<1%▼ 31
How the odds have moved
Mbappé: 69% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 26, 9 PM ETMbappé: 74% → >99%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbappé | >99% | ▲ 31 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.4M | |
| Yamal | <1% | ▼ 31 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.4M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ballon d'Or, Kylian Mbappé, Lamine Yamal
Search ›- Lamine Yamal Breaks Kylian Mbappe’s Champions League RecordLamine Yamal made history on a rain-drenched Camp Nou on Tuesday night as he became the highest-scoring teenager in Champions League history. The 19-year-old has been in scintillating form in 2026–27 and is the the first player from any of…
- Lamine Yamal takes Mbappé’s Champions League under-20 scoring record as Barça beat Villa 3-0Lamine Yamal became the Champions League's top scorer before the age of 20 as Barcelona beat Aston Villa 3-0, taking the mark from Kylian Mbappé. The record comes soon after Mbappé's double decided the Clásico, and the win lifts Barça to…
- NFL Madrid: Lamine Yamal's locker and Kylian Mbappe's presence leaves NFL players starstruck as Cincinnati Bengals face Atlanta Falcons at BernabeuCincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins expressed his excitement over the prospect of Kylian Mbappe being at the Bernabeu to watch Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons; watch live coverage from Madrid on Sky Sports NFL from 2pm…
- Marcus Rashford reveals what he told Lamine Yamal before leaving BarcelonaMarcus Rashford has spoken admiringly about Lamine Yamal and revealed how he was in touch with his former team-mate about the recent Ballon d'Or awards. The England international has returned to Manchester United after a season with…
- Bijan Robinson plans to meet soccer stars Vinícius Júnior and Kylian Mbappé before Falcons Madrid gameNovember 6, 2026 / 9:11 AM EST / AP Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson had some advice for Real Madrid forward Vinícius Júnior on Thursday, when he also said he plans to meet with the Brazilian star and France star Kylian Mbappé…
- 'It's crazy!' - Robert Lewandowski issues career warning to Lamine Yamal as Barcelona veteran discusses 'special' teammateRobert Lewandowski has opened up about the meteoric rise of Lamine Yamal, offering a candid assessment of the challenges facing Barcelona's teenage sensation. While the Polish striker is full of praise for the winger's talent, he warned…
- 'He's closest to Lionel Messi' - Rashford names player to win more Ballons d'Or than Cristiano RonaldoManchester United forward Marcus Rashford has backed Barcelona youngster Lamine Yamal to win as many as seven Ballon d'Or awards during his career, saying the teenager possesses qualities that put him closest to Lionel Messi. Messi has…
- Raphinha talks Lamine Yamal, Atletico Madrid & being Barcelona’s No. 9Barcelona captain Raphinha signed a contract extension on Thursday that is designed to keep him at the club until 2030. The Brazilian was thrilled to lock down his future and spoke about a number of topics after the signing at a press…
- Lamine Yamal Is an Unstoppable Goal MachineBarcelona face one of their biggest tests of the season this Sunday when they travel to the Metropolitano to face Atlético Madrid, with much more than three points at stake. The team managed by Hansi Flick currently leads the standings…
- Barcelona's 'new De Bruyne' impresses alongside Lamine YamalBy Naim Beneddra | 06 Nov 2026 17:39 Barcelona have found an unexpected solution to their defensive injury crisis in a young midfielder once compared to Kevin De Bruyne, whose remarkable relationship with Lamine Yamal is now proving…
- Marcus Rashford hails Lamine Yamal as next Lionel MessiEnglish forward Marcus Rashford has heaped sensational praise on Barcelona starlet Lamine Yamal saying he is the nearest thing to Lionel Messi in world football. Marcus Rashford has spoken of his admiration for Lamine Yamal the teenage…
- Barcelona exit: Rashford opens up on final words to Lamine YamalManchester United forward Marcus Rashford has opened up on his final words to Lamine Yamal before leaving Barcelona. The England international revealed that he told Yamal he ranks above every talented player he has played with. Rashford…
Related markets
All futbol ›Philadelphia Union @ New England Revolution
New England Revolution27%
Draw24%
Philadelphia Union45%
Portland Timbers @ FC Dallas
FC Dallas50%
Draw21%
Portland Timbers25%
Columbus Crew @ Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF55%
Draw20%
Columbus Crew22%
Charlotte FC @ Chicago Fire FC
Chicago Fire FC56%
Draw17%
Charlotte FC18%
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club
Abha Saudi Club32%
Draw31%
Al Kholood Saudi Club38%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Futbol. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Futbol, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Futbol index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Futbol Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions