Czechia vs. Spain
Czechia7%▼ 1
Draw12%▼ 1
Spain82%▲ 1
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Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?
The odds
>99%Rodri
- Rodri>99%▲ 29
- Messi<1%▼ 29
How the odds have moved
Rodri: 74% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 26, 9 PM ETRodri: 71% → >99%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodri | >99% | ▲ 29 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $48K | |
| Messi | <1% | ▼ 29 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $48K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ballon d'Or, Lionel Messi, Rodri
Search ›- Kylian Mbappe Falls Agonizingly Short of Famous Lionel Messi Champions League RecordAnother game, not quite another record for Kylian Mbappé. The Frenchman played his part in Real Madrid’s Champions League comeback win over AEK Athens on Wednesday, scoring in the 3–2 win. Madrid needed to come from behind twice at the…
- Inter Miami's MLS Cup rivals beware - Lionel Messi is entering 'scary hours' in what could be his last dance with Luis SuarezThe Argentine is playing some of his best football at the right time for Inter Miami, which could make the Herons back-to-back cup champions. It's hard to tell whether Lionel Messi got lucky or not. But that's probably the point. When he…
- FC Barcelona: Joan Laporta’s poignant tribute to Lionel MessiManu Tournoux is a passionate and knowledgeable football enthusiast with a special focus on French football. Born and raised in France, Manu discovered his love for the beautiful game at a young age and developed a deep understanding of…
- Harry Kane extends deal at Bayern Munich until 2029 a week after winning Ballon d'OrMUNICH — Harry Kane has extended his contract at Bayern Munich until 2029, a week after winning the Ballon d'Or. The German champion announced the new deal for the England captain on Thursday after long-running talks. Kane moved to Bayern…
- Ballon D'Or Winner Harry Kane Extends Contract With Bayern MunichFamously without a team trophy after more than 10 years at boyhood club Spurs, Kane has won two Bundesliga titles and one German Cup since joining Bayern, although the Champions League has proved elusive -- reaching the semi-finals twice…
- Argentina set to make symbolic Lionel Messi gesture in first game since retirementLa Albiceleste will begin the post-Messi era in November following his retirement from the national team. The eight-time Ballon d'Or winner was given a monumental send-off in a 208th and final appearance in October. He scored 126 goals and…
- Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi Retire: Comparing Their International Goals, Caps and RecordsThe international careers of Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi have drawn to a close in 2026, marking the end of a rivalry that defined an era of world football. Messi stepped away from Argentina duty in October, while Ronaldo confirmed…
- Harry Kane crowned Ballon d'Or winner, Putellas wins women's awardHarry Kane completed his long quest for football's highest individual honor, with the Bayern Munich and England striker winning the Ballon d'Or after a record-breaking season. Spain midfielder Alexia Putellas won the Ballon d'Or Feminin…
- Ballon d'Or Winner Kane Extends Contract with Bayern Munich Until 2029... Sports Outlet Reports "Highest Ever in Europe"Bayern Munich announced through its official website on the 6th , "We have renewed our contract with Kane until June 30, 2029," adding, "Kane, who has scored 156 goals in 161 official matches, became the world's best player by winning the…
- 'That's the challenge' - Ballon d'Or winner Harry Kane sets out UEFA Champions League ambitions after signing new Bayern Munich contract'That's the challenge' - Kane sets out Champions League ambitions TNT Sports 'That's the challenge' - Ballon d'Or winner Harry Kane sets out UEFA Champions League ambitions after signing new Bayern Munich contract Watch as Bayern Munich…
- Cristiano Ronaldo couldn't accept Portugal reality and it's cost him Lionel Messi farewellLionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo have stepped away from international football in very different ways But the light has finally gone out from the faded star that is Cristiano Ronaldo, after he announced his retirement from international…
- Ballon d'Or winner Kane extends contract with Bayern MunichHarry Kane and his wife pose at Munich's Oktoberfest in 2026 -- he says he feels at home in Bavaria Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane has extended his contract with the German giants Harry Kane said he felt "right at home" after he signed a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Futbol. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Futbol, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Futbol index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Futbol Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions