Czechia vs. Spain
Czechia7%▼ 1
Draw12%▼ 1
Spain82%▲ 1
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UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis
The odds
62%Paris Saint-Germain
- Paris Saint-Germain62%
- Barcelona56%▲ 1
- Arsenal52%
- Bayern Munich47%
- Real Madrid44%▼ 1
- Manchester City33%▼ 1
- Inter Milan20%
- Liverpool18%▲ 1
- Borussia Dortmund16%
- Como12%
- Atlético Madrid12%
- Aston Villa12%
24 more
- Manchester United11%
- VfB Stuttgart9%
- Sporting CP7%▼ 1
- Roma7%
- Fenerbahçe6%▼ 2
- Lille6%
- RB Leipzig6%
- Napoli5%
- Porto5%
- Real Betis5%
- PSV Eindhoven4%
- Villarreal4%
- Lens4%
- Viking3%
- Club Brugge3%
- Slovan Bratislava3%
- Slavia Prague3%
- AEK Athens3%
- LASK3%
- Feyenoord3%
- Galatasaray2%
- Shakhtar Donetsk2%▼ 2
- Sabah2%
- Bodø/Glimt1%
How the odds have moved
Paris Saint-Germain: 52% on Oct 20, 62% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 30, 9 PM ETParis Saint-Germain: 58% → 51%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 62% | 61¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | $2.9K | |
| Barcelona | 56% | ▲ 1 | 55¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | $4.3K |
| Arsenal | 52% | 51¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | $5.7K | |
| Bayern Munich | 47% | 46¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | $3.1K | |
| Real Madrid | 44% | ▼ 1 | 43¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | $1.3K |
| Manchester City | 33% | ▼ 1 | 31¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | $780 |
| Inter Milan | 20% | 19¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | $8.6K | |
| Liverpool | 18% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $6.4K |
| Borussia Dortmund | 16% | 15¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $21 | |
| Como | 12% | 10¢ | 14¢ | $6.99 | $1.5K | |
| Atlético Madrid | 12% | 10¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | $425 | |
| Aston Villa | 12% | 11¢ | 13¢ | $7.94 | $3.5K | |
| Manchester United | 11% | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | $20 | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | $1.2K | |
| Sporting CP | 7% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $102 |
| Roma | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $5.1K | |
| Fenerbahçe | 6% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $527 |
| Lille | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.13 | $114 | |
| RB Leipzig | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $101 | |
| Napoli | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $202 | |
| Porto | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $347 | |
| Real Betis | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | $279 | |
| PSV Eindhoven | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | $41 | |
| Villarreal | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $121 | |
| Lens | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $102 | |
| Viking | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $348 | |
| Club Brugge | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | $21 | |
| Slovan Bratislava | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.83 | $3K | |
| Slavia Prague | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $123 | |
| AEK Athens | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $22.22 | $179 | |
| LASK | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.83 | $456 | |
| Feyenoord | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | $2.4K | |
| Galatasaray | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $1.8K | |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $102 |
| Sabah | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $40.00 | $335 | |
| Bodø/Glimt | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $62.50 | $675 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Champions League, UEFA Champions League, Paris Saint-Germain
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- Paris Saint-Germain v Troyes: title push meets survival fight | OneFootballParis Saint-Germain host Troyes in Ligue 1 at the Parc des Princes on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with the leaders aiming to consolidate top spot and the visitors looking to stay out of relegation danger. Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in…
- 'That's the challenge' - Ballon d'Or winner Harry Kane sets out UEFA Champions League ambitions after signing new Bayern Munich contract'That's the challenge' - Kane sets out Champions League ambitions TNT Sports 'That's the challenge' - Ballon d'Or winner Harry Kane sets out UEFA Champions League ambitions after signing new Bayern Munich contract Watch as Bayern Munich…
- Champions League Winner Market on Kalshi: Barcelona, PSG BattlingWe are halfway through the group phase of the Champions League, and Barcelona and PSG continue to pull away from the field. Kalshi’s Champions League market puts Barcelona at the top at 21%, with PSG just behind at 19%. These are the only…
- Who can stop PSG from winning a third straight Champions League title?Joss Favela is put to the test, to see how well he can come up with a piropo given the most random words ever! From El Northgate to Futbol, que romanticucho y listo es el cantautor mas popular de Mexico?! Watch on the app Real Madrid…
- UEFA Champions League: Mbappe 5 goals away from equalling Ronaldo’s scoring recordNovember 5, 2026 Austine Agbo Emmanuel Sports 0 Real Madrid forward Kylian Mbappe is closing in on one of Cristiano Ronaldo’s most remarkable UEFA Champions League records after scoring in six consecutive matches in Europe’s elite club…
- Great Champions League free-kicks | Video | UEFA Champions League 2026/27UEFA.com Classic highlights: AEK Athens 3-3 Real Madrid Liverpool's Miracle of Istanbul 2011 final: Barcelona 3-1 Man United 2012 final: Chelsea 1-1 Bayern (4-3 pens) 2018 final: Madrid 3-1 Liverpool 2020 final: Paris 0-1 Bayern 2017…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Futbol. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Futbol, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Futbol index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Futbol Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions